The monthly indicator data for a molding plant are shown. The plant manager says safety performance is stable because recordable injuries have not risen. Which conclusion do the data BEST support?
| Month | Safety observations completed | Near-miss reports | Corrective actions closed on time | Recordable injuries |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 120 | 22 | 92% | 1 |
| Feb | 112 | 20 | 90% | 0 |
| Mar | 98 | 15 | 84% | 1 |
| Apr | 85 | 11 | 78% | 0 |
| May | 70 | 8 | 71% | 1 |
| Jun | 61 | 6 | 65% | 0 |
Show answer & explanation
Answer: D
Hazards are being eliminated, because near-miss reports have fallen steadily: Reads falling near-miss reports as fewer hazards; with observations and closures also falling, it more likely shows declining reporting.
No trend can be judged until the recordable injury rate begins to change: Waits for a lagging indicator to move, which defeats the purpose of tracking leading indicators.
Performance is stable, because recordable injuries are the most reliable measure: Recordables are a small-number lagging measure; a flat count of 0–1 per month cannot show the underlying trend.
All three leading indicators are declining, which signals rising risk: Correct. Observations, near-miss reporting and on-time closures are leading indicators, and all three fell for six straight months, a warning sign before injuries rise.
Leading indicators (observations, near-miss reports, corrective-action closure) measure prevention activity and can warn of trouble while lagging indicators such as recordables still look flat.